ENSO Oceanic Structure
Global Circulation 5 Day 200 hPa Stream Function and Wave Flux
JAMA
Weekly OLR Anomalies
MJO Forecasts
Kelvin Wave Filtered GFS Forecasts (negative velocity potentials in blue/purple shading, active kelvin wave in blue dashes)
Global View of Kelvin Wave
MJO With ENSO GFS Forecast
CSF Forecast of OLR with Kelvin and Rossby waves
Same CSF Forecast but as a Hovmoller
MJO Phase Plot NCEP GFS Ensembles
MJO Phase Plot ECMWF
Multivariate PNA (Includes MJO indices)
- This is a relatively new index that has been proposed to help determine which MJO events will impact North America. Think of it as a correlation index of sorts. Included in the index are the NA 200 hPa streamfunctions, 850 winds, and OLR for each phase.
- You want the opposite MVP based on the phase. For example, phase 4 of the MJO which is known to be warmer in the E. US, will be lessened if the MVP is greater than -0.75. And vice versa, if the phase 4 MJO will have stronger impacts for E. US warmth, the MVP will be <-0.75.
- Phase 7-8 of the MJO, which contributes to cooler weather in the E. US, will be enhanced if the MVP >+0.75. It will be lessened the further negative the MVP is. So they are essentially opposites.
- More here Multivariate PNA Proposal
Sea Surface Temperature Forecast
| ECMWF Forecast Plumes ECMWF Plumes | NCEP CFSv2 NCEP SST |
| Climate Prediction Center CPC | PSD SST Forecast PSD Forecast |
The CPC website contains SST forecasts from CFS, CMC, NCAR, NASA, IMME. It also has precipitation, 2m temperature, and ensemble probabilities. Very nice resource!
IRI ENSO Plume
Subsurface Anomalies
Various MJO Websites and Links
| MJO Forecast NCEP MJO | 200 hPa Velocity Potential Forecast Velocity Potential |
| CPC ENSO Diagnostic ENSO Discussion | Convectively-Coupled Kelvin Waves Mike Ventrice website |
| Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI Index with ENSO) MEI Index | MJO Tri-Monthly Composites Composites |
| NCICS Tropical Monitoring | IRI ENSO Discussion IRI |
Philadelphia Weather Authority 